Colorado’s yards a carry with Micah Welch and without Micah Welch
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Colorado averaged 3.52 yards a carry with Micah Welch and 3.22 without Micah Welch over its last 25 games, 21 games against 4, a difference of 0.30. Both neutral-site games were with Micah Welch. All 5 ranked opponents were with Micah Welch. All 7 nonconference games were with Micah Welch.
Micah Welch, running back: 669 rushing yards, 158 carries and 18 receptions in 21 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Micah Welch
3.52
without Micah Welch
3.22
246
A +0.30 difference in yards a carry with Micah Welch vs without Micah Welch is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Micah Welchwithout Micah Welch
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Texas Tech | W | 2.46 | — | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs Utah | W | 3.25 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Kansas (neutral) | L | 3.58 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs Oklahoma State | W | 1.14 | — | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs BYU (neutral) | L | 0.11 | — | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | vs Georgia Tech | L | 4.71 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Delaware | W | 3.72 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2025 | @ Houston | L | 4.17 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Wyoming | W | 6.23 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vsBYU | L | 4.65 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ TCU | L | 3.60 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Iowa State | W | 4.11 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @Utah | L | 1 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Arizona | L | 3.07 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ West Virginia | L | 1.34 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Arizona State | L | 4.50 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Kansas State | L | 3.21 | — | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | @Georgia Tech | W | 4.06 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsWWeber State | W | 4.89 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Northwestern | L | 5.45 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Baylor | L | 2.13 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsTexas Tech | L | 2.44 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vsUtah | L | 5.75 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @Oklahoma State | L | 1.87 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsKansas State | W | 5.31 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 20 of these 25 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.