Colorado’s rushing yards with Julian Lewis and since Julian Lewis’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Colorado was 15.8 yards over with Julian Lewis and 16.2 yards under since Julian Lewis’ last game in 2026, 2 games against 5. The plain averages are 184.0 and 115.6, a difference of 68.4. Both ranked opponents were since Julian Lewis’ last game. All 5 conference games were since Julian Lewis’ last game. All 3 nonconference games were with Julian Lewis.
Julian Lewis, quarterback: 733 passing yards, 95 pass attempts and 61 completions in 4 games this season.
3 games with Julian Lewis is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
A +31.9 difference in rushing yards over expected with Julian Lewis vs since Julian Lewis’ last game is about what you’d expect.
A +68.4 difference in rushing yards with Julian Lewis vs since Julian Lewis’ last game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Julian Lewis and it comes up 13 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Georgia Tech | W | 191 | 194.5 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsWWeber State | W | 181 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Northwestern | L | 180 | 144.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Baylor | L | 83 | 124.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Texas Tech | L | 78 | 138.5 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Utah | L | 138 | 91.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Oklahoma State | L | 56 | 154.5 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Kansas State | W | 223 | 150.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Weber State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.