Colorado’s points of margin with Danny Scudero and since Danny Scudero’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Colorado was 2.4 points under with Danny Scudero and 3.1 points under since Danny Scudero’s last game over its last 25 games, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 16.0 and -16.5, a difference of 32.5. All 3 night games were since Danny Scudero’s last game. Both ranked opponents were since Danny Scudero’s last game. All 5 conference games were since Danny Scudero’s last game.
Danny Scudero, receiver: 25 receiving yards and 6 receptions in 2 of those 25 games.
2 games with Danny Scudero is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
A +32.5 difference in points of margin with Danny Scudero vs since Danny Scudero’s last game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Danny Scudero and it comes up 13 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Texas Tech | W | 14 | 2.7 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs Utah | W | 25 | 10.0 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Kansas (neutral) | L | -16 | 7.0 | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs Oklahoma State | W | 52 | 15.1 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs BYU (neutral) | L | -22 | 3.1 | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | vs Georgia Tech | L | -7 | -7.4 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Delaware | W | 24 | 11.0 | |
| Sep 12, 2025 | @ Houston | L | -16 | -10.6 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Wyoming | W | 17 | 8.1 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vsBYU | L | -3 | -18.4 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ TCU | L | -14 | -15.7 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Iowa State | W | 7 | -11.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @Utah | L | -46 | -25.5 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Arizona | L | -35 | -9.0 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ West Virginia | L | -7 | -1.7 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Arizona State | L | -25 | -4.4 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Kansas State | L | -10 | -15.4 | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | @Georgia Tech | W | 1 | 3.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsWWeber State | W | 31 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Northwestern | L | -34 | -13.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Baylor | L | -10 | -21.8 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsTexas Tech | L | -22 | -8.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vsUtah | L | -3 | -22.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @Oklahoma State | L | -33 | -11.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsKansas State | W | 3 | -1.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Weber State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Danny Scudero nor since Danny Scudero’s last game: Danny Scudero had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.