Putting Up Numbers· college football

Colorado’s points allowed with Danny Scudero and since Danny Scudero’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Colorado was 13.6 points under with Danny Scudero and 4.0 points over since Danny Scudero’s last game in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 17.0 and 33.5, a difference of 16.5. All 3 night games were since Danny Scudero’s last game. Both ranked opponents were since Danny Scudero’s last game. All 5 conference games were since Danny Scudero’s last game.

Danny Scudero, receiver: 25 receiving yards and 6 receptions in 2 games this season.

2 games with Danny Scudero is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points allowed a game over expected

A −16.5 difference in points allowed with Danny Scudero vs since Danny Scudero’s last game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Danny Scudero and it comes up 15 times in 100.

The games

with Danny Scuderosince Danny Scudero’s last game
Colorado’s games, 2026, each marked with Danny Scudero or since Danny Scudero’s last game
SideDateGameResultpoints allowedExpected
Sep 3, 2026@Georgia TechW1326.6
Sep 12, 2026vsWWeber StateW21—
Sep 19, 2026@NorthwesternL4129.2
Sep 26, 2026@BaylorL2331.8
Oct 3, 2026vsTexas TechL2930.5
Oct 17, 2026vsUtahL2732.3
Oct 24, 2026@Oklahoma StateL5730.6
Oct 31, 2026vsKansas StateW2422.7

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.8 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • Weber State has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.