Central Michigan’s points allowed with Jayden Clerveaux and without Jayden Clerveaux
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Central Michigan was 1.3 points over with Jayden Clerveaux and 3.3 points under without Jayden Clerveaux in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 26.6 and 21.0, a difference of 5.6. All 3 away games were with Jayden Clerveaux. Both night games were with Jayden Clerveaux. All 4 nonconference games were with Jayden Clerveaux.
Jayden Clerveaux, running back: 271 rushing yards, 50 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game without Jayden Clerveaux is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Jayden Clerveaux
+1.3
without Jayden Clerveaux
−3.3
-100
plain
26.6
21.0
2040
The games
with Jayden Clerveauxwithout Jayden Clerveaux
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ New Mexico | L | 38 | 31.9 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Colgate | W | 10 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Wyoming | W | 10 | 23.4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Miami (FL) | L | 52 | 43.7 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Akron | W | 17 | 20.2 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Ohio | L | 31 | 26.4 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Western Michigan | L | 21 | 24.3 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Miami (OH) | L | 28 | 22.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Colgate has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.