Central Michigan’s passing yards with Jadyn Glasser and without Jadyn Glasser
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Central Michigan was 46.5 yards under with Jadyn Glasser and 23.6 yards under without Jadyn Glasser over its last 25 games, 7 games against 16. The plain averages are 119.0 and 153.4, a difference of 34.4. Both opponents outside the major colleges were without Jadyn Glasser. All 4 of Jim McElwain’s games were with Jadyn Glasser.
Jadyn Glasser, quarterback: 980 passing yards, 159 pass attempts and 90 completions in 13 of those 25 games, 58% of Central Michigan’s passing yards in those games.
passing yards a game over expected
A −22.9 difference in passing yards over expected with Jadyn Glasser vs without Jadyn Glasser is about what you’d expect.
A −34.4 difference in passing yards with Jadyn Glasser vs without Jadyn Glasser is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | vs Bowling Green | L | 63 | 155.6 | |
| Nov 12, 2024 | @ Toledo | L | 150 | 158.3 | |
| Nov 19, 2024 | vs Western Michigan | W | 140 | 184.2 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Northern Illinois | L | 92 | 130.2 | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | @ San Jose State | W | 115 | 214.2 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Pittsburgh | L | 177 | 175.8 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Michigan | L | 60 | 158.7 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vsWWagner | W | 273 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Eastern Michigan | W | 140 | 183.9 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ Akron | L | 136 | 217.5 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @Bowling Green | W | 73 | 188.3 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs UMass | W | 223 | 191.0 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @Western Michigan | L | 185 | 143.6 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | vs Buffalo | W | 247 | 158.6 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | @ Kent State | W | 123 | 214.7 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsToledo | L | 242 | 154.2 | |
| Dec 26, 2025 | vs Northwestern (neutral) | L | 178 | 144.0 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ New Mexico | L | 30 | 138.9 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Colgate | W | 76 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Wyoming | W | 32 | 162.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Miami (FL) | L | 137 | 175.7 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsAkron | W | 149 | 169.6 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Ohio | L | 154 | 152.1 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vsWestern Michigan | L | 179 | 161.9 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Miami (OH) | L | 221 | 215.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 2.3 in 2024, plus 1.8 in 2025, plus 4.1 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 72% in 2024, 68% in 2025, 59% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Wagner, Colgate have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 21 of these 25 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.