Putting Up Numbers· college football

Buffalo’s yards a carry with Terrance Shelton Jr. and without Terrance Shelton Jr.

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Buffalo averaged 3.59 yards a carry with Terrance Shelton Jr. and 4.40 without Terrance Shelton Jr. over its last 25 games, 15 games against 10, a difference of 0.81. All 3 night games were with Terrance Shelton Jr.. All 4 games after a bye were with Terrance Shelton Jr..

Terrance Shelton Jr., running back: 362 rushing yards, 92 carries and 12 receptions in 15 of those 25 games.

yards a carry a game

A −0.81 difference in yards a carry with Terrance Shelton Jr. vs without Terrance Shelton Jr. is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Terrance Shelton Jr. and it comes up 14 times in 100.

The games

with Terrance Shelton Jr.without Terrance Shelton Jr.
Buffalo’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Terrance Shelton Jr. or without Terrance Shelton Jr.
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Nov 12, 2024vsBall StateW5.20—
Nov 20, 2024@Eastern MichiganW3.45—
Nov 26, 2024vsKent StateW4.87—
Jan 4, 2025vsLiberty (neutral)W4.12—
Aug 28, 2025@MinnesotaL1.83—
Sep 6, 2025vsSSt. Francis (PA)W5.87—
Sep 13, 2025@Kent StateW4.79—
Sep 20, 2025vsTroyL3.68—
Sep 27, 2025vsUConnL4.86—
Oct 4, 2025vsEastern MichiganW3.71—
Oct 18, 2025@UMassW2.40—
Oct 25, 2025vsAkronL2.68—
Nov 1, 2025@Bowling GreenW5.41—
Nov 12, 2025@Central MichiganL4—
Nov 19, 2025vsMiami (OH)L1.39—
Nov 28, 2025vsOhioL3.13—
Sep 3, 2026vsUUAlbanyW5.13—
Sep 12, 2026@Florida InternationalL2.48—
Sep 19, 2026@Penn StateL2.97—
Sep 26, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW4.92—
Oct 3, 2026vsWestern MichiganL2.87—
Oct 10, 2026@ToledoW4.02—
Oct 17, 2026vsUMassW4.93—
Oct 24, 2026vsBowling GreenW6.12—
Nov 3, 2026@Miami (OH)W3.06—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 20 of these 25 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.