Buffalo’s third-down conversion rate with Jason Wright and without Jason Wright
, ,
Buffalo averaged 36.1% third-down conversion rate with Jason Wright and 47.6% without Jason Wright in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 11.5%. All 3 away games were with Jason Wright. All 6 day games were with Jason Wright. All 6 major-college opponents were with Jason Wright.
Jason Wright, quarterback: 1,345 passing yards, 231 pass attempts and 114 completions in 8 games this season.
One game without Jason Wright is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game
with Jason Wright
36.1%
without Jason Wright
47.6%
20%40%
The games
with Jason Wrightwithout Jason Wright
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsUUAlbany | W | 47.6% | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Florida International | L | 23.5% | 36.1% | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Penn State | L | 7.1% | 32.3% | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsRRobert Morris | W | 52.6% | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Western Michigan | L | 35.7% | 37.6% | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Toledo | W | 38.1% | 36.9% | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs UMass | W | 42.1% | 40.8% | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Bowling Green | W | 53.3% | 37.5% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- UAlbany, Robert Morris have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.