Putting Up Numbers· college football

Buffalo’s rushing yards with Clint Walker and since Clint Walker’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Buffalo was 1.0 yards over with Clint Walker and 11.2 yards under since Clint Walker’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 177.3 and 101.0, a difference of 76.3. All 5 home games were with Clint Walker. All 6 day games were with Clint Walker. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Clint Walker.

Clint Walker, tight end: 195 receiving yards and 22 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since Clint Walker’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Clint Walkersince Clint Walker’s last game
Buffalo’s games, 2026, each marked with Clint Walker or since Clint Walker’s last game
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 3, 2026vsUUAlbanyW154—
Sep 12, 2026@Florida InternationalL62154.2
Sep 19, 2026@Penn StateL113153.4
Sep 26, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW305—
Oct 3, 2026vsWestern MichiganL135148.6
Oct 10, 2026@ToledoW181132.5
Oct 17, 2026vsUMassW217169.2
Oct 24, 2026vsBowling GreenW251195.5
Nov 3, 2026@Miami (OH)W101112.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • UAlbany, Robert Morris have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.