Putting Up Numbers· college football

Buffalo’s points allowed with Clint Walker and since Clint Walker’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Buffalo was 0.4 points under with Clint Walker and 4.1 points over since Clint Walker’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 25.4 and 31.0, a difference of 5.6. All 5 home games were with Clint Walker. All 6 day games were with Clint Walker. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Clint Walker.

Clint Walker, tight end: 195 receiving yards and 22 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since Clint Walker’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points allowed a game over expected

The games

with Clint Walkersince Clint Walker’s last game
Buffalo’s games, 2026, each marked with Clint Walker or since Clint Walker’s last game
SideDateGameResultpoints allowedExpected
Sep 3, 2026vsUUAlbanyW17—
Sep 12, 2026@Florida InternationalL3322.4
Sep 19, 2026@Penn StateL5529.9
Sep 26, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW28—
Oct 3, 2026vsWestern MichiganL2026.0
Oct 10, 2026@ToledoW840.8
Oct 17, 2026vsUMassW1820.8
Oct 24, 2026vsBowling GreenW2420.5
Nov 3, 2026@Miami (OH)W3126.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.8 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • UAlbany, Robert Morris have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.