Putting Up Numbers· college football

Buffalo’s passing yards with Clint Walker and since Clint Walker’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Buffalo was 38.5 yards under with Clint Walker and 107.9 yards over since Clint Walker’s last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 154.6 and 358.0, a difference of 203.4. All 5 home games were with Clint Walker. All 6 day games were with Clint Walker. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Clint Walker.

Clint Walker, tight end: 195 receiving yards and 22 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Clint Walker’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Clint Walkersince Clint Walker’s last game
Buffalo’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Clint Walker or since Clint Walker’s last game
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Nov 12, 2024vsBall StateW264249.6
Nov 20, 2024@Eastern MichiganW260207.3
Nov 26, 2024vsKent StateW193222.1
Jan 4, 2025vsLiberty (neutral)W137198.2
Aug 28, 2025@MinnesotaL107227.2
Sep 6, 2025vsSSt. Francis (PA)W133—
Sep 13, 2025@Kent StateW318244.1
Sep 20, 2025vsTroyL153221.5
Sep 27, 2025vsUConnL125255.1
Oct 4, 2025vsEastern MichiganW272222.7
Oct 18, 2025@UMassW403219.5
Oct 25, 2025vsAkronL266259.7
Nov 1, 2025@Bowling GreenW136238.0
Nov 12, 2025@Central MichiganL262224.5
Nov 19, 2025vsMiami (OH)L303227.9
Nov 28, 2025vsOhioL270220.4
Sep 3, 2026vsUUAlbanyW189—
Sep 12, 2026@Florida InternationalL246158.6
Sep 19, 2026@Penn StateL60145.7
Sep 26, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW140—
Oct 3, 2026vsWestern MichiganL170223.7
Oct 10, 2026@ToledoW171228.6
Oct 17, 2026vsUMassW134192.7
Oct 24, 2026vsBowling GreenW127189.8
Nov 3, 2026@Miami (OH)W358250.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • UAlbany, Robert Morris have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 8 of these 9 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 16 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Clint Walker nor since Clint Walker’s last game: Clint Walker had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.