Putting Up Numbers· college football

Arkansas State’s yards a carry with Kenyon Clay and without Kenyon Clay

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Arkansas State averaged 3.90 yards a carry with Kenyon Clay and 4.08 without Kenyon Clay over its last 25 games, 19 games against 2, a difference of 0.18. Both neutral-site games were with Kenyon Clay. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Kenyon Clay. All 3 games after a bye were with Kenyon Clay.

Kenyon Clay, running back: 744 rushing yards, 191 carries and 47 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.

2 games without Kenyon Clay is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

yards a carry a game

A −0.18 difference in yards a carry with Kenyon Clay vs without Kenyon Clay is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Kenyon Claywithout Kenyon Clay
Arkansas State’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Kenyon Clay or without Kenyon Clay
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Nov 16, 2024@Georgia StateW5.76—
Nov 23, 2024vsLouisiana MonroeW4.95—
Nov 30, 2024vsOld DominionL3.82—
Dec 26, 2024vsBowling Green (neutral)W4.40—
Aug 30, 2025vsSSoutheast Missouri StateW4.34—
Sep 6, 2025vsArkansas (neutral)L3.64—
Sep 13, 2025vsIowa StateL4.23—
Sep 20, 2025@Kennesaw StateL3.29—
Sep 27, 2025@Louisiana MonroeL0.44—
Oct 4, 2025vsTexas StateW4.61—
Oct 14, 2025@South AlabamaW4.94—
Oct 25, 2025vsGeorgia SouthernW6.45—
Nov 1, 2025@TroyW1.71—
Nov 8, 2025vsSouthern MissL3.50—
Nov 20, 2025vsLouisianaL3.94—
Nov 29, 2025@Appalachian StateW3.21—
Dec 18, 2025vsMissouri State (neutral)W3.62—
Sep 5, 2026@MemphisL3.93—
Sep 12, 2026vsWWest GeorgiaW6.40—
Sep 19, 2026@TCUL4.27—
Sep 26, 2026vsKennesaw StateW4.38—
Oct 3, 2026@LouisianaL3.78—
Oct 8, 2026vsSouth AlabamaL3.63—
Oct 17, 2026@Southern MissW2.82—
Oct 24, 2026vsGeorgia StateW5.13—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Kenyon Clay nor without Kenyon Clay: Kenyon Clay had no game for the team that season, and sit out.