Arizona’s yards a carry with Ismail Mahdi and without Ismail Mahdi
, ,
Arizona averaged 4.36 yards a carry with Ismail Mahdi and 4.20 without Ismail Mahdi over its last 25 games, 15 games against 6, a difference of 0.16.
Ismail Mahdi, running back: 931 rushing yards, 146 carries and 18 receptions in 15 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Ismail Mahdi
4.36
without Ismail Mahdi
4.20
24
A +0.16 difference in yards a carry with Ismail Mahdi vs without Ismail Mahdi is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Ismail Mahdiwithout Ismail Mahdi
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | @ UCF | L | 0.20 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2024 | vs Houston | W | 3.44 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ TCU | L | 1.86 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Arizona State | L | 3.11 | — | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Hawaii | W | 5.78 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsWWeber State | W | 3.97 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2025 | vs Kansas State | W | 5.51 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Iowa State | L | 4.46 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs Oklahoma State | W | 1.44 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs BYU | L | 5 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @Houston | L | 3.61 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Colorado | W | 5.37 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Kansas | W | 5.69 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Cincinnati | W | 4.58 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Baylor | W | 4.91 | — | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @Arizona State | W | 2.46 | — | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vs SMU (neutral) | L | 4.89 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Northern Arizona | W | 5.89 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @BYU | L | 3.13 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Northern Illinois | W | 3.44 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Washington State | W | 4.28 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsCincinnati | W | 5.80 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ West Virginia | W | 5.84 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vsIowa State | W | 4.09 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Texas Tech | L | 0.45 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 4 games in 2024 are neither with Ismail Mahdi nor without Ismail Mahdi: Ismail Mahdi had no game for the team that season, and sit out.