Arizona’s points allowed with Antwan Roberts Jr. and without Antwan Roberts Jr.
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Arizona was 3.0 points under with Antwan Roberts Jr. and 4.3 points over without Antwan Roberts Jr. in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 17.6 and 28.0, a difference of 10.4. All 4 home games were with Antwan Roberts Jr.. All 3 night games were with Antwan Roberts Jr.. All 6 unranked opponents were with Antwan Roberts Jr..
Antwan Roberts Jr., running back: 263 rushing yards, 39 carries and 1 reception in 7 games this season.
One game without Antwan Roberts Jr. is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Antwan Roberts Jr.
−3.0
without Antwan Roberts Jr.
+4.3
-20-10010
plain
17.6
28.0
102030
The games
with Antwan Roberts Jr.without Antwan Roberts Jr.
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Northern Arizona | W | 7 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ BYU | L | 28 | 23.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Northern Illinois | W | 17 | 10.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Washington State | W | 24 | 14.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Cincinnati | W | 7 | 25.8 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ West Virginia | W | 31 | 28.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Iowa State | W | 3 | 26.8 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Texas Tech | L | 34 | 28.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Northern Arizona has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.