Putting Up Numbers· college football

Clune Van Andel’s field goals at home and away

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed kickers, Clune Van Andel was 0.5 field goals under at home and 0.5 field goals over away in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 0.8 and 1.5, a difference of 0.8. Both day games were away.

field goals a game over expected

A −1.0 difference in field goals over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.

A −0.8 difference in field goals at home vs away is about what you’d expect.

The games

at homeaway
Clune Van Andel’s games, 2026, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultfield goalsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@MemphisL11.5
Sep 12, 2026vsWWest GeorgiaW1—
Sep 19, 2026@TCUL01.3
Sep 26, 2026vsKennesaw StateW12.1
Oct 3, 2026@LouisianaL2-0.0
Oct 8, 2026vsSouth AlabamaL00.5
Oct 17, 2026@Southern MissW31.2
Oct 24, 2026vsGeorgia StateW10.9

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed kickers in its other 2026 games, plus 0.0 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for kickers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s kickers’ field goals in his games, 100%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 90% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.