Alonza Barnett III’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Alonza Barnett III was 79.2 yards under at home and 34.0 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 1. The plain averages are 145.5 and 186.0, a difference of 40.5. Both night games were at home.
One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
−79.2
away
−34.0
-60-40-200
plain
145.5
186.0
140160180
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsBBethune-Cookman | W | 158 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ | L | 186 | 220.0 | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | vs | L | 133 | 212.2 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 9.3 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 79%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 102% of the difference the model predicts.
- Bethune-Cookman has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.