Utah Valley’s assists at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Utah Valley was 2.7 assists over at home and 1.9 assists under away over its last 60 games, 24 games against 28. The plain averages are 17.8 and 10.9, a difference of 6.9.
Utah Valley’s +4.5 at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 363 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
assists a game over expected
at home
+2.7
away
−1.9
-10-505
A +4.5 difference in assists over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
17.8
10.9
102030
A +6.9 difference in assists at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | assists | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | vsPPark University Gilbert | W | 33 | — | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs Cal State Bakersfield | W | 22 | 12.3 | |
| Nov 22, 2024 | vs Loyola Marymount | L | 14 | 13.7 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vsBBethesda | W | 26 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs Alabama A&M (neutral) | W | 13 | 14.4 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Omaha (neutral) | L | 8 | 14.6 | |
| Dec 4, 2024 | @ Air Force | L | 14 | 12.5 | |
| Dec 10, 2024 | @ BYU | L | 6 | 10.5 | |
| Dec 16, 2024 | vs Jacksonville State | W | 12 | 11.9 | |
| Dec 20, 2024 | @ Weber State | W | 10 | 12.7 | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | @ Abilene Christian | W | 8 | 12.1 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | @ Grand Canyon | L | 10 | 10.3 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ California Baptist | L | 4 | 14.3 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | vs UT Arlington | W | 22 | 14.5 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | @ Utah Tech | W | 12 | 16.6 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | vsCalifornia Baptist | W | 15 | 14.7 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vs Seattle U | W | 26 | 16.8 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | vsGrand Canyon | L | 15 | 11.1 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | @UT Arlington | L | 18 | 13.6 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | @ Tarleton State | L | 10 | 10.4 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | vs Southern Utah | L | 9 | 12.8 | |
| Feb 19, 2025 | vsUtah Tech | W | 14 | 17.6 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | @Seattle U | W | 14 | 16.5 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | @Southern Utah | W | 8 | 11.7 | |
| Mar 6, 2025 | vsAbilene Christian | L | 16 | 12.7 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vsTarleton State | W | 18 | 11.0 | |
| Mar 21, 2025 | @Air Force | W | 18 | 12.2 | |
| Mar 24, 2025 | @ Washington State | L | 7 | 9.9 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @Cal State Bakersfield | W | 16 | 12.6 | |
| Nov 5, 2025 | @Loyola Marymount | W | 18 | 13.1 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | @ Utah | L | 8 | 10.9 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Pepperdine | W | 23 | 13.7 | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vsBBenedictine Mesa | W | 19 | — | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | vsWeber State | W | 11 | 14.6 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ Nevada | L | 9 | 12.4 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsAir Force | L | 9 | 13.6 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Kansas City | W | 16 | 14.8 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vsLLa Sierra | W | 29 | — | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Idaho State | L | 9 | 12.6 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @California Baptist | L | 7 | 12.8 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vsTarleton State | W | 22 | 12.4 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vsAbilene Christian | W | 20 | 13.8 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @Southern Utah | L | 8 | 11.8 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Utah Tech | L | 10 | 13.2 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @UT Arlington | L | 10 | 13.7 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vsSouthern Utah | L | 14 | 12.5 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vsCalifornia Baptist | L | 18 | 13.2 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vsTarleton State | W | 14 | 13.0 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @Abilene Christian | L | 12 | 13.2 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | @UT Arlington | L | 13 | 13.6 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | vsUtah Tech | W | 12 | 14.2 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @California Baptist | W | 14 | 12.3 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsUT Arlington | W | 21 | 14.2 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @Tarleton State | W | 8 | 12.3 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Abilene Christian | L | 10 | 13.4 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vsSouthern Utah | W | 15 | 12.5 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vsUtah Tech | W | 16 | 13.9 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsTarleton State (neutral) | L | 11 | 12.6 | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | @ San Francisco | L | 6 | 13.0 | |
| Nov 3, 2026 | vsPPark University Gilbert | W | 22 | — |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 in 2024-25, plus 0.6 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 91% in 2024-25, 91% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Park University Gilbert, Bethesda, Benedictine Mesa, La Sierra, Park University Gilbert have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.