UT Arlington’s assists at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, UT Arlington was NaN assists over at home and 2.0 assists under away over its last 60 games, 25 games against 28. The plain averages are 17.3 and 10.9, a difference of 6.5.
UT Arlington’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 363 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
assists a game over expected
at home
NaN
away
−2.0
A NaN difference in assists over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
17.3
10.9
102030
A +6.5 difference in assists at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | assists | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | @ Arkansas | L | 15 | 14.6 | |
| Nov 18, 2024 | @ East Texas A&M | W | 14 | 15.7 | |
| Nov 24, 2024 | @ Purdue | L | 8 | 13.0 | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | @ SMU | L | 11 | 13.4 | |
| Dec 4, 2024 | vs Houston | W | 13 | 15.2 | |
| Dec 16, 2024 | vs Florida International | W | 21 | 16.7 | |
| Dec 19, 2024 | @ UTSA | L | 10 | 12.1 | |
| Dec 30, 2024 | vsWWiley | W | 32 | — | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | vs Tarleton State | W | 17 | 12.7 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | vs Utah Tech | W | 16 | 19.1 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vs Southern Utah | W | 20 | 13.7 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | @ Utah Valley | L | 17 | 14.4 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | @ Seattle U | W | 11 | 18.4 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vs Abilene Christian | W | 19 | 14.1 | |
| Jan 30, 2025 | @Southern Utah | W | 10 | 13.2 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | @Utah Tech | W | 21 | 17.6 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | vsUtah Valley | W | 21 | 15.2 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vsSeattle U | W | 21 | 18.8 | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | @ California Baptist | L | 13 | 15.3 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @ Grand Canyon | L | 8 | 12.0 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | @Tarleton State | L | 11 | 11.9 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | vsGrand Canyon | L | 10 | 13.1 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | @Abilene Christian | L | 12 | 13.4 | |
| Mar 8, 2025 | vsCalifornia Baptist | W | 26 | 15.6 | |
| Mar 20, 2025 | vs Incarnate Word | W | 19 | 14.8 | |
| Mar 24, 2025 | @ North Texas | L | 15 | 12.1 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | @Houston | L | 3 | 13.4 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vs Missouri State | L | 11 | 11.1 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Wyoming | W | 21 | 11.4 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Tennessee State | W | 18 | 14.3 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @ Lamar | L | 7 | 11.8 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Colorado (neutral) | L | 10 | 8.5 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Texas A&M (neutral) | W | 14 | 12.2 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | vs VCU (neutral) | W | 16 | 13.3 | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | @ Little Rock | W | 14 | 10.3 | |
| Dec 12, 2025 | @ Rice | L | 11 | 9.3 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs Texas Southern | W | 26 | 13.7 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ LSU | L | 5 | 9.6 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @Tarleton State | L | 9 | 11.4 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | @California Baptist | L | 12 | 11.6 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vsSouthern Utah | L | 17 | 11.5 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @Abilene Christian | L | 13 | 12.3 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vsUtah Tech | W | 15 | 13.1 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vsUtah Valley | W | 13 | 15.6 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | @Tarleton State | L | 4 | 11.7 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @Southern Utah | L | 6 | 11.1 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @California Baptist | L | 5 | 12.0 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | vsUtah Tech | W | 17 | 13.0 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsUtah Valley | W | 15 | 15.4 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | vsAbilene Christian | L | 12 | 13.5 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Southern Utah | L | 9 | 10.9 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | @Utah Tech | L | 12 | 12.2 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @Utah Valley | L | 18 | 14.1 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vsCalifornia Baptist | L | 17 | 12.4 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vsTarleton State | L | 12 | 12.3 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vsAbilene Christian | L | 10 | 13.6 | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | vsUtah Tech (neutral) | W | 15 | 12.6 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsSouthern Utah (neutral) | W | 6 | 11.7 | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vsAbilene Christian (neutral) | L | 9 | 13.1 | |
| Nov 3, 2026 | vs Sacramento State | L | 11 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 in 2024-25, plus 0.6 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 91% in 2024-25, 91% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Wiley has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.