Syracuse’s 3-point attempts at home and away
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Through Syracuse’s game on Mar 23, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Syracuse was 1.8 3-point attempts under at home and 1.9 3-point attempts over away over its last 60 games, 31 games against 21. The plain averages are 15.6 and 19.1, a difference of 3.6. All 3 top-10 opponents were at home.
Syracuse’s −3.7 at home vs away over expected ranks 361st of the 363 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games through Mar 23, 2026.
3-point attempts a game over expected
at home
−1.8
away
+1.9
-50510
A −3.7 difference in 3-point attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
15.6
19.1
10152025
A −3.6 difference in 3-point attempts at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-point attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | vs Fairleigh Dickinson | W | 21 | 13.6 | |
| Nov 20, 2024 | vs UAlbany | L | 14 | 17.2 | |
| Nov 25, 2024 | vs Missouri (neutral) | W | 10 | 18.9 | |
| Nov 26, 2024 | vs Creighton (neutral) | L | 12 | 13.8 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | vs Yale | W | 8 | 11.7 | |
| Dec 4, 2024 | @ Texas A&M | L | 17 | 18.5 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | vs Notre Dame | L | 14 | 17.0 | |
| Dec 18, 2024 | @ Binghamton | W | 21 | 19.0 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vs Dartmouth | W | 13 | 15.2 | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | @ Georgia Tech | L | 17 | 15.7 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ Florida State | L | 17 | 15.5 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | vs SMU | L | 16 | 20.0 | |
| Jan 12, 2025 | vs Miami | W | 16 | 23.4 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | @ Louisville | L | 16 | 15.2 | |
| Jan 19, 2025 | @ Boston College | L | 20 | 17.1 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | vs NC State | L | 24 | 19.9 | |
| Jan 26, 2025 | @ Clemson | W | 16 | 15.1 | |
| Feb 2, 2025 | vs Virginia | L | 25 | 21.4 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | @ Virginia Tech | W | 21 | 15.0 | |
| Feb 9, 2025 | vs Wake Forest | W | 13 | 16.7 | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | @ Stanford | L | 23 | 16.6 | |
| Feb 16, 2025 | @ California | L | 10 | 14.4 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | vs North Carolina | L | 16 | 17.0 | |
| Feb 23, 2025 | @ Duke | L | 17 | 11.4 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | vs Pittsburgh | W | 21 | 22.1 | |
| Mar 2, 2025 | vsBoston College | W | 19 | 17.5 | |
| Mar 5, 2025 | vsBoston College (neutral) | L | 16 | 17.6 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | vs Stony Brook | W | 12 | 17.2 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | vsUAlbany | W | 10 | 16.6 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Canisius | W | 9 | 17.0 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Wagner | W | 22 | 16.6 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | vs Utah (neutral) | W | 19 | 18.5 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Michigan (neutral) | L | 22 | 16.0 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | vs Howard | W | 14 | 19.9 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Auburn | W | 16 | 16.4 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @SMU | W | 28 | 17.2 | |
| Dec 10, 2025 | vs Colgate | W | 20 | 17.2 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | vsBinghamton | W | 23 | 18.2 | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | vs Mercyhurst | W | 16 | 16.4 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vsDuke | L | 12 | 13.7 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vsFlorida State | W | 16 | 21.2 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @Wake Forest | W | 17 | 21.8 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vsVirginia Tech | L | 12 | 13.0 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | @Virginia | W | 15 | 17.4 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | vsCalifornia | W | 12 | 12.8 | |
| Jan 18, 2026 | vsStanford | W | 9 | 16.8 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @North Carolina | L | 20 | 16.7 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vsGeorgia Tech | W | 12 | 19.7 | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | @Miami | W | 20 | 19.7 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @Boston College | W | 23 | 19.5 | |
| Feb 8, 2026 | vsLouisville | L | 17 | 18.0 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | @Pittsburgh | W | 24 | 22.9 | |
| Feb 15, 2026 | vsClemson | W | 12 | 15.3 | |
| Feb 22, 2026 | @NC State | L | 22 | 20.4 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @Notre Dame | L | 20 | 14.2 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vsBoston College | W | 19 | 20.1 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vsCalifornia (neutral) | W | 10 | 12.7 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsLouisville (neutral) | L | 25 | 17.3 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Iowa State (neutral) | W | 25 | 18.2 | |
| Mar 23, 2026 | @ UConn | L | 18 | 18.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 in 2024-25, plus 0.2 in 2025-26 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 92% in 2024-25, 93% in 2025-26 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.