Stephen F. Austin’s rebounds at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Stephen F. Austin was 3.7 rebounds over at home and 2.8 rebounds under away over its last 60 games, 24 games against 25. The plain averages are 40.3 and 31.5, a difference of 8.8.
Stephen F. Austin’s +6.5 at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 363 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
rebounds a game over expected
at home
+3.7
away
−2.8
-10010
A +6.5 difference in rebounds over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
40.3
31.5
204060
A +8.8 difference in rebounds at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rebounds | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | @ UT Rio Grande Valley | L | 19 | 34.0 | |
| Dec 14, 2024 | @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | W | 27 | 35.9 | |
| Dec 19, 2024 | @ San Diego State | W | 35 | 30.1 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vs Colorado State (neutral) | W | 38 | 35.6 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | vsTTexas A&M-San Antonio | W | 65 | — | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | vs Houston Christian | W | 42 | 35.5 | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | vs Incarnate Word | W | 33 | 32.8 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | vs SE Louisiana | L | 35 | 32.7 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | @ Lamar | L | 28 | 29.4 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | @ McNeese | W | 47 | 38.1 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | @ Nicholls | L | 27 | 34.2 | |
| Jan 25, 2025 | vs Northwestern State | W | 38 | 33.2 | |
| Jan 27, 2025 | vs East Texas A&M | W | 42 | 39.5 | |
| Jan 30, 2025 | @ LSU New Orleans | W | 37 | 37.3 | |
| Feb 1, 2025 | vsLamar | W | 29 | 30.2 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | vsUT Rio Grande Valley | W | 35 | 33.8 | |
| Feb 8, 2025 | vsTexas A&M-Corpus Christi | W | 45 | 35.5 | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | @East Texas A&M | W | 42 | 38.7 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | @Northwestern State | W | 30 | 33.0 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | @Houston Christian | W | 28 | 35.7 | |
| Feb 22, 2025 | @Incarnate Word | W | 36 | 31.8 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | vsMcNeese | W | 48 | 38.9 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | vsNicholls | W | 47 | 33.7 | |
| Mar 21, 2025 | @ Notre Dame | L | 25 | 27.2 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vsNNelson (TX) | W | 43 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vsTTexas A&M-Texarkana | W | 52 | — | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Abilene Christian | W | 32 | 30.1 | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vs Houston | W | 36 | 33.7 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ Louisiana Tech | L | 21 | 30.0 | |
| Nov 27, 2025 | vs Hampton (neutral) | W | 44 | 38.0 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Longwood (neutral) | L | 38 | 37.9 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vs Texas State | W | 35 | 32.3 | |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vsUT Rio Grande Valley | L | 32 | 33.6 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vsTexas A&M-Corpus Christi | W | 43 | 34.5 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Arkansas | L | 39 | 34.3 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @East Texas A&M | L | 38 | 38.2 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | @Northwestern State | W | 30 | 31.6 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @SE Louisiana | W | 46 | 39.3 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vsIncarnate Word | W | 33 | 34.4 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vsHouston Christian | W | 37 | 35.3 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | @Nicholls | W | 35 | 34.8 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @LSU New Orleans | W | 37 | 41.5 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vsNorthwestern State | W | 32 | 32.3 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @Lamar | L | 23 | 30.2 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vsMcNeese | L | 38 | 33.6 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vsSE Louisiana | W | 52 | 39.7 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | vsEast Texas A&M | L | 39 | 38.9 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsLamar | W | 38 | 30.0 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | @Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | W | 33 | 34.4 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @UT Rio Grande Valley | W | 20 | 33.5 | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | vsLSU New Orleans | W | 42 | 42.0 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsNicholls | W | 38 | 35.4 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | @Incarnate Word | W | 31 | 33.8 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Houston Christian | W | 30 | 35.0 | |
| Mar 2, 2026 | @McNeese | L | 23 | 33.8 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vsNicholls (neutral) | W | 42 | 34.8 | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | vsLamar (neutral) | W | 27 | 30.3 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vsMcNeese (neutral) | W | 38 | 33.3 | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | vs Missouri State (neutral) | L | 27 | 30.4 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | vsDDallas | W | 47 | — |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.4 in 2024-25, plus 0.4 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 90% in 2024-25, 91% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Texas A&M-San Antonio, Nelson (TX), Texas A&M-Texarkana, Dallas have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.