Loyola Chicago’s free throw attempts at home and away
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Through Loyola Chicago’s game on Mar 27, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Loyola Chicago was 3.6 free throw attempts under at home and 2.7 free throw attempts over away over its last 60 games, 29 games against 28. The plain averages are 11.8 and 17.3, a difference of 5.5.
Loyola Chicago’s −6.3 at home vs away over expected ranks 363rd of the 363 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games through Mar 27, 2026.
free throw attempts a game over expected
at home
−3.6
away
+2.7
-10010
A −6.3 difference in free throw attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
11.8
17.3
102030
A −5.5 difference in free throw attempts at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | free throw attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | vs Valparaiso | W | 10 | 15.5 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Eastern Illinois | L | 10 | 13.4 | |
| Nov 26, 2024 | vs Northwestern | L | 8 | 16.1 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs South Carolina State | W | 7 | 15.1 | |
| Dec 3, 2024 | vs La Salle | L | 4 | 15.6 | |
| Dec 7, 2024 | @ Western Michigan | W | 16 | 12.5 | |
| Dec 17, 2024 | vs Chicago State | W | 13 | 17.3 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vs Evansville | W | 13 | 14.9 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | vs St. Bonaventure | W | 7 | 10.8 | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | @ Dayton | L | 18 | 13.7 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ George Washington | W | 27 | 14.3 | |
| Jan 8, 2025 | vs VCU | L | 19 | 12.8 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vs Fordham | L | 18 | 16.9 | |
| Jan 15, 2025 | @ George Mason | L | 12 | 11.9 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | @ Saint Louis | W | 14 | 16.1 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | vs Richmond | L | 4 | 8.6 | |
| Jan 26, 2025 | @ Rhode Island | L | 14 | 11.1 | |
| Jan 29, 2025 | vsDayton | L | 10 | 15.0 | |
| Feb 5, 2025 | @ Davidson | L | 30 | 15.1 | |
| Feb 9, 2025 | @ Saint Joseph's | L | 6 | 11.3 | |
| Feb 12, 2025 | vsGeorge Washington | L | 7 | 16.3 | |
| Feb 15, 2025 | vs Duquesne | L | 7 | 16.5 | |
| Feb 19, 2025 | @ Massachusetts | L | 22 | 11.7 | |
| Feb 26, 2025 | @VCU | W | 15 | 12.2 | |
| Mar 1, 2025 | vsSaint Louis | W | 18 | 16.7 | |
| Mar 5, 2025 | vsGeorge Washington (neutral) | L | 14 | 15.5 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ Milwaukee | W | 18 | 17.4 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs Green Bay | L | 5 | 13.2 | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ UConn | L | 8 | 11.6 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Maryland Eastern Shore | L | 13 | 21.0 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Illinois State | L | 7 | 13.5 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ UIC | L | 13 | 13.2 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ DePaul | W | 24 | 17.7 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | @Richmond | L | 13 | 11.5 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsWestern Michigan | L | 4 | 15.6 | |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vs Oakland | W | 13 | 15.8 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @Northwestern | W | 13 | 15.8 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | vs Austin Peay | L | 21 | 17.5 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vsDavidson | L | 14 | 16.0 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vsRhode Island | L | 14 | 12.4 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | @Dayton | W | 18 | 14.5 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | vsSaint Louis | W | 22 | 17.8 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | @George Mason | L | 19 | 15.6 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @George Washington | W | 22 | 16.8 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | vsLa Salle | W | 19 | 17.0 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | @Saint Louis | W | 18 | 17.2 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vsSt. Bonaventure | W | 11 | 15.4 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @Fordham | W | 14 | 20.1 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vsVCU | W | 15 | 15.5 | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | @Duquesne | L | 14 | 17.3 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | vsSaint Joseph's | L | 12 | 16.5 | |
| Feb 18, 2026 | vsGeorge Mason | L | 17 | 16.5 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | @St. Bonaventure | W | 28 | 13.7 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | vsDayton | L | 11 | 15.7 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @La Salle | L | 24 | 15.9 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vsSt. Bonaventure (neutral) | W | 10 | 15.0 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vsRhode Island (neutral) | L | 17 | 11.8 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ Norfolk State | W | 20 | 16.7 | |
| Mar 23, 2026 | @ Florida Gulf Coast | W | 20 | 14.1 | |
| Mar 27, 2026 | @George Washington | L | 14 | 17.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.5 in 2024-25, plus 0.4 in 2025-26 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 81% in 2024-25, 82% in 2025-26 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.