Georgia Tech’s assists at home and away
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Georgia Tech was NaN assists over at home and 1.6 assists under away over its last 60 games, 30 games against 23. The plain averages are 19.4 and 13.6, a difference of 5.8.
Georgia Tech’s NaN at home vs away over expected ranks 1st of the 363 teams with 6 games on each side over their last 60 games.
assists a game over expected
at home
NaN
away
−1.6
A NaN difference in assists over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
19.4
13.6
1020
A +5.8 difference in assists at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | assists | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | vs Mississippi State | W | 14 | 17.8 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | @ Mercer | W | 20 | 18.4 | |
| Dec 11, 2024 | vs UL Monroe | W | 27 | 21.0 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | @ North Carolina | W | 21 | 13.0 | |
| Dec 18, 2024 | vs Rice | W | 22 | 16.4 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vs Nebraska | W | 11 | 18.1 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | vs Pittsburgh | W | 24 | 19.0 | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | vs Syracuse | W | 17 | 20.4 | |
| Jan 9, 2025 | vs Virginia Tech | L | 19 | 17.2 | |
| Jan 12, 2025 | @ Louisville | L | 12 | 15.1 | |
| Jan 16, 2025 | @ Notre Dame | L | 15 | 13.1 | |
| Jan 19, 2025 | vs Clemson | W | 28 | 15.9 | |
| Jan 23, 2025 | @ Virginia | W | 20 | 19.7 | |
| Jan 26, 2025 | vs Duke | L | 14 | 13.4 | |
| Feb 2, 2025 | @ Miami | W | 18 | 18.3 | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | vs SMU | W | 14 | 19.1 | |
| Feb 9, 2025 | @ Boston College | W | 16 | 17.6 | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | @Clemson | L | 11 | 15.8 | |
| Feb 16, 2025 | vs Wake Forest | W | 23 | 17.4 | |
| Feb 20, 2025 | vs NC State | L | 19 | 15.0 | |
| Feb 23, 2025 | vs Florida State | L | 26 | 18.8 | |
| Feb 27, 2025 | @ California | L | 12 | 13.8 | |
| Mar 2, 2025 | @ Stanford | L | 14 | 14.4 | |
| Mar 6, 2025 | vsVirginia Tech (neutral) | W | 11 | 17.1 | |
| Mar 7, 2025 | vsNC State (neutral) | L | 12 | 14.8 | |
| Mar 21, 2025 | vs Richmond (neutral) | L | 14 | 16.5 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs Radford | W | 24 | 15.9 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs Princeton | L | 14 | 15.2 | |
| Nov 13, 2025 | vs Charleston Southern | W | 24 | 18.8 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Jacksonville | L | 14 | 16.7 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs West Georgia | W | 21 | 17.8 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | @ Georgia | L | 7 | 13.8 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs St. John's (neutral) | L | 15 | 14.7 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Florida (neutral) | L | 9 | 14.4 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | @ Texas A&M | L | 15 | 15.0 | |
| Dec 8, 2025 | vs Norfolk State | W | 20 | 15.5 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | @ West Virginia | L | 11 | 12.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @Wake Forest | L | 13 | 18.5 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | @NC State | L | 15 | 12.6 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | vs Wofford | W | 29 | 16.2 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vsNotre Dame | W | 27 | 12.8 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @SMU | W | 13 | 17.3 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vsVirginia | L | 11 | 15.9 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | vsClemson | W | 14 | 12.5 | |
| Jan 18, 2026 | @Duke | L | 8 | 10.1 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vsNorth Carolina | L | 13 | 12.3 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @Florida State | W | 14 | 15.8 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @Syracuse | L | 11 | 15.5 | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | vsBoston College | W | 21 | 19.0 | |
| Feb 5, 2026 | vsCalifornia | L | 17 | 13.8 | |
| Feb 8, 2026 | vsStanford | W | 22 | 12.1 | |
| Feb 12, 2026 | @Clemson | L | 11 | 11.5 | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | @Pittsburgh | W | 19 | 18.8 | |
| Feb 22, 2026 | @Virginia Tech | L | 8 | 12.1 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vsLouisville | L | 11 | 12.6 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vsMiami | W | 20 | 16.2 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vsFlorida State (neutral) | W | 9 | 16.7 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vsVirginia Tech (neutral) | L | 8 | 12.6 | |
| Mar 19, 2026 | @ Kansas State | L | 8 | 14.7 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | vs Hofstra | W | 21 | NaN |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 in 2024-25, plus 0.6 in 2025-26, plus 0.0 in 2026-27 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 91% in 2024-25, 91% in 2025-26, NaN% in 2026-27 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.