Eastern Michigan’s 3-point attempts at home and away
, ,
Through Eastern Michigan’s game on Mar 7, 2026.
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Michigan was 2.8 3-point attempts under at home and 2.1 3-point attempts over away in 2025-26, 12 games against 16. The plain averages are 18.6 and 21.8, a difference of 3.1.
Eastern Michigan’s −5.0 at home vs away over expected ranks 361st of the 363 teams with 6 games on each side in 2025-26 through Mar 7.
3-point attempts a game over expected
at home
−2.8
away
+2.1
-10010
A −5.0 difference in 3-point attempts over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.
plain
18.6
21.8
102030
A −3.1 difference in 3-point attempts at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 9 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3-point attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ UL Monroe | L | 23 | 20.9 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | @ Canisius | W | 19 | 18.1 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ Michigan State | L | 16 | 19.6 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | @ St. Thomas | W | 21 | 16.1 | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | @ Purdue Fort Wayne | L | 20 | 20.4 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Robert Morris | W | 18 | 19.4 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ Detroit Mercy | W | 18 | 20.3 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vsDDefiance | W | 29 | — | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | vs Duquesne | W | 17 | 25.0 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ Indiana | L | 26 | 16.6 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Ball State | L | 26 | 22.7 | |
| Dec 30, 2025 | vs Bowling Green | W | 13 | 19.8 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | @ Ohio | L | 26 | 27.9 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vs Kent State | L | 22 | 22.1 | |
| Jan 14, 2026 | @ Miami (OH) | L | 18 | 17.8 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ Central Michigan | L | 20 | 20.1 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | vs Toledo | W | 13 | 15.0 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Northern Illinois | W | 9 | 21.1 | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | @ Buffalo | W | 24 | 19.3 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vs Western Michigan | L | 14 | 18.1 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @ Massachusetts | L | 18 | 21.9 | |
| Feb 7, 2026 | vs Arkansas State | W | 16 | 17.0 | |
| Feb 10, 2026 | vsBall State | L | 33 | 22.6 | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | @Toledo | L | 20 | 14.2 | |
| Feb 21, 2026 | vsBuffalo | W | 14 | 20.4 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | vsMiami (OH) | L | 18 | 18.2 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @Northern Illinois | L | 29 | 19.3 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vsOhio | L | 26 | 28.2 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Akron | W | 24 | 18.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 93% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Defiance has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.