Putting Up Numbers· NHL

The Mammoth's power-play goals on a back-to-back and with a day off or more

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Mammoth were 0.50 power-play goals under on a back-to-back and 0.04 power-play goals over with a day off or more in 2025-26, 11 games against 70. The plain averages are 0.09 and 0.63, a difference of 0.54.

The Mammoth's −0.54 on a back-to-back vs with a day off or more over expected ranks 30th of the 30 teams with 10 games on each side in 2025-26.

power-play goals a game over expected

A −0.54 difference in power-play goals over expected on a back-to-back vs with a day off or more is rare: shuffle which games were on a back-to-back and it comes up less than once in 100.

A −0.54 difference in power-play goals on a back-to-back vs with a day off or more is rare: shuffle which games were on a back-to-back and it comes up once in 100.

The games

on a back-to-backwith a day off or more
Utah Mammoth’s games, 2025-26, each marked on a back-to-back or with a day off or more
SideDateGameResultpower-play goalsExpected
Oct 9, 2025@COLL10.51
Oct 11, 2025@NSHW00.56
Oct 13, 2025@CHIL00.53
Oct 15, 2025vsCGYW00.58
Oct 17, 2025vsSJSW10.63
Oct 19, 2025vsBOSW10.64
Oct 21, 2025vsCOLW10.52
Oct 23, 2025@STLW20.57
Oct 25, 2025@MINW10.58
Oct 26, 2025@WPGW10.58
Oct 28, 2025@EDML00.60
Nov 2, 2025vsTBLL00.57
Nov 4, 2025@BUFW00.55
Nov 5, 2025@TORL00.55
Nov 8, 2025@MTLL00.62
Nov 9, 2025@OTTL00.61
Nov 12, 2025vsBUFW00.57
Nov 14, 2025vsNYIL10.54
Nov 17, 2025@ANAL00.63
Nov 18, 2025@SJSL00.62
Nov 20, 2025vsVGKL00.55
Nov 22, 2025vsNYRW00.60
Nov 24, 2025vsVGKW00.55
Nov 26, 2025vsMTLL10.62
Nov 28, 2025@DALL00.58
Nov 29, 2025@STLL00.59
Dec 1, 2025@SJSL00.62
Dec 3, 2025@ANAW10.62
Dec 5, 2025@VANW10.65
Dec 6, 2025@CGYL00.57
Dec 8, 2025vsLAKL10.63
Dec 10, 2025vsFLAL00.61
Dec 12, 2025vsSEAW10.64
Dec 14, 2025@PITW10.55
Dec 16, 2025@BOSL10.63
Dec 17, 2025@DETW00.57
Dec 19, 2025vsNJDL10.55
Dec 21, 2025vsWPGW00.60
Dec 23, 2025@COLL00.52
Dec 29, 2025vsNSHL10.57
Jan 1, 2026@NYIW20.52
Jan 3, 2026@NJDL00.55
Jan 5, 2026@NYRW00.59
Jan 7, 2026vsOTTW00.63
Jan 9, 2026vsSTLW10.60
Jan 11, 2026vsCBJL00.61
Jan 13, 2026vsTORW00.56
Jan 15, 2026vsDALW00.60
Jan 17, 2026vsSEAW00.64
Jan 21, 2026vsPHIW10.60
Jan 24, 2026@NSHW10.55
Jan 26, 2026@TBLL00.56
Jan 27, 2026@FLAW00.59
Jan 29, 2026@CARL00.54
Jan 31, 2026vsDALL00.60
Feb 2, 2026vsVANW10.66
Feb 4, 2026vsDETW10.58
Feb 25, 2026vsCOLL10.52
Feb 27, 2026vsMINW10.59
Mar 1, 2026vsCHIL00.54
Mar 3, 2026@WSHW20.57
Mar 5, 2026@PHIW10.59
Mar 7, 2026@CBJW00.60
Mar 9, 2026@CHIL00.53
Mar 10, 2026@MINL00.58
Mar 12, 2026vsCHIL00.54
Mar 14, 2026vsPITL10.56
Mar 16, 2026@DALW10.57
Mar 19, 2026@VGKW00.53
Mar 20, 2026vsANAL00.65
Mar 22, 2026vsLAKW00.64
Mar 24, 2026vsEDML10.61
Mar 26, 2026vsWSHL20.58
Mar 28, 2026@LAKW20.61
Apr 2, 2026@SEAW30.60
Apr 4, 2026@VANW10.65
Apr 7, 2026vsEDMW10.61
Apr 9, 2026vsNSHW10.57
Apr 11, 2026vsCARL10.55
Apr 12, 2026@CGYL00.57
Apr 14, 2026vsWPGW20.58
Apr 16, 2026vsSTLL00.61
Apr 19, 2026@VGKL00.53
Apr 21, 2026@VGKW00.53
Apr 24, 2026vsVGKW10.54
Apr 27, 2026vsVGKL00.55
Apr 29, 2026@VGKL00.53
May 1, 2026vsVGKL00.55

Read next

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2025-26 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.02 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 39% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut into stretches, one a 15 games, where the dates leave the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.