Semyon Varlamov’s saves at home and away
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Against his share of what goalies usually saved against his opponents, Semyon Varlamov was 0.7 saves under at home and 3.5 saves under away in 2026-27, 1 game against 3. The plain averages are 24.0 and 19.3, a difference of 4.7. Both first-half games were away.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
saves a game over expected
at home
−0.7
away
−3.5
-4-20
plain
24.0
19.3
202224
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | saves | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | @ NYR | L | 19 | 22.4 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | @ OTT | L | 19 | 23.0 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs LAK | L | 24 | 24.7 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | @ NSH | W | 20 | 23.0 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed goalies in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.0 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for goalies that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s goalies’ saves in his games, 100%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.