Scott Wedgewood’s saves at home and away
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Against his share of what goalies usually saved against his opponents, Scott Wedgewood was 0.5 saves under at home and 1.7 saves over away in 2026-27, 1 game against 4. The plain averages are 20.0 and 24.3, a difference of 4.3. All 3 games outside the division were away. All 3 second-half games were away.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
saves a game over expected
at home
−0.5
away
+1.7
-10010
plain
20.0
24.3
102030
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | saves | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | @ CGY | W | 26 | 23.0 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | vs DAL | L | 20 | 20.5 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | @ NJD | L | 37 | 25.9 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ NSH | L | 29 | 20.3 | |
| Nov 3, 2026 | @ CBJ | L | 5 | 21.0 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed goalies in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.0 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for goalies that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s goalies’ saves in his games, 91%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.