Nico Daws’ saves at home and away
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Against his share of what goalies usually saved against his opponents, Nico Daws was 6.1 saves under at home and 3.6 saves over away in 2026-27, 3 games against 1. The plain averages are 16.3 and 26.0, a difference of 9.7. Both games outside the division were at home.
One game away is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
saves a game over expected
at home
−6.1
away
+3.6
-50
plain
16.3
26.0
152025
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | saves | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ NYI | L | 26 | 22.4 | |
| Oct 12, 2026 | vs OTT | L | 16 | 23.2 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | vs NYR | W | 18 | 22.5 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs ANA | W | 15 | 21.6 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed goalies in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.0 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for goalies that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s goalies’ saves in his games, 100%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.