Connor Hellebuyck’s saves at home and away
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Against his share of what goalies usually saved against his opponents, Connor Hellebuyck was 3.6 saves under at home and 6.1 saves under away in 2026-27, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 18.0 and 18.0, a difference of 0.0. Expected was 2.5 saves lower at home than away.
One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
saves a game over expected
at home
−3.6
away
−6.1
-6-4-20
plain
18.0
18.0
1717.51818.519
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | saves | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | @ DAL | W | 17 | 22.8 | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | @ VGK | W | 19 | 25.4 | |
| Nov 3, 2026 | vs EDM | W | 18 | 21.6 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed goalies in its other 2026-27 games, plus 0.0 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for goalies that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s goalies’ saves in his games, 100%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.