Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Sharks @ Kings

Wed, Nov 4

The odds have it Kings 3.53, Sharks 2.93.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Sharks at Kings: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameSharks16 gamesKings13 games
−0.57−0.41
+0.17+0.24
−0.4+1.0
+3.8+0.9
+0.02−0.10
−0.22+0.46
+0.5+1.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

  • The Sharks lead the series 111–91–7 since 1991-92. The Sharks have won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Kings' goals are 2.30 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Kings' shots are 6.5 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, the Kings' goals are 0.97 under expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Sharks' shots are 5.2 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Sharks' goals are 1.26 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 3, 2026at SharksSharks 5, Kings 4
Jan 7, 2026at KingsSharks 4, Kings 3
Nov 20, 2025at SharksSharks 4, Kings 3
Oct 28, 2025at SharksKings 4, Sharks 3
Mar 30, 2025at KingsKings 8, Sharks 1
Nov 25, 2024at SharksSharks 7, Kings 2
Oct 29, 2024at SharksSharks 4, Kings 2
Oct 24, 2024at KingsKings 3, Sharks 2
Apr 4, 2024at SharksKings 2, Sharks 1
Jan 22, 2024at KingsSharks 4, Kings 3

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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