Putting Up Numbers· NHL

Flames @ Kraken

Wed, Nov 4

The odds have it Kraken 3.35, Flames 3.04.Expected goals from DraftKings’ moneyline and total on ESPN’s scoreboard, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Flames at Kraken: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameFlames15 gamesKraken14 games
−0.70+0.53
+0.25+0.53
+0.4−1.8
+2.8+2.9
−0.01+0.08
−0.23+0.25
+1.8+0.5

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Flames

  • The Flames' goal differential is 1.07 higher at home than away against expected over their last 165 games, 1st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →
  • The Flames have won 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

If you squint

  • Against a team at .500 or under, the Kraken's goal differential is 4.25 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Kraken's penalty minutes are 7.1 over expected in 5 games. 5 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • At home, the Kraken's penalty minutes are 3.5 over expected in 6 games. 6 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • The Flames have won 7 of their last 10.countits form →
  • On the road, the Flames' goals are 1.39 under expected in 7 games. 7 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Flames' goal differential is 1.65 under expected in 9 games. 9 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 30, 2026at FlamesFlames 6, Kraken 2
Oct 4, 2026at KrakenKraken 6, Flames 1
Oct 1, 2026at FlamesKraken 6, Flames 1
Apr 11, 2026at KrakenKraken 4, Flames 1
Jan 5, 2026at FlamesKraken 5, Flames 1
Dec 18, 2025at FlamesFlames 4, Kraken 2
Mar 25, 2025at FlamesFlames 4, Kraken 3
Feb 8, 2025at FlamesKraken 3, Flames 2
Feb 2, 2025at KrakenFlames 3, Kraken 2
Oct 19, 2024at KrakenKraken 2, Flames 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • Goals are the final score’s: a shootout gives its winner one goal, as the standings count it. Shots are shots on goal, and power-play goals allowed are the opponent’s.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next