The Vikings' turnovers with Jordan Addison and without Jordan Addison
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Vikings were 0.7 turnovers under with Jordan Addison and 0.8 turnovers over without Jordan Addison in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 0.5 and 2.0, a difference of 1.5. All 3 home games were with Jordan Addison. All 3 division games were with Jordan Addison. All 3 first-half games were with Jordan Addison.
Jordan Addison, receiver: 249 receiving yards, 16 receptions and 33 targets in 6 games this season.
One game without Jordan Addison is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
turnovers a game over expected
with Jordan Addison
−0.7
without Jordan Addison
+0.8
-10
plain
0.5
2.0
00.511.52
The games
with Jordan Addisonwithout Jordan Addison
| Side | Date | Game | Result | turnovers | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | W | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | W | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | W | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ DET | L | 1 | 1.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 2% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.