The Vikings' points of margin with Jauan Jennings and without Jauan Jennings
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Vikings were 4.4 points over with Jauan Jennings and 6.9 points over without Jauan Jennings in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 6.8 and 6.0, a difference of 0.8. Expected was 3.4 points higher with Jauan Jennings than without Jauan Jennings. All 3 home games were with Jauan Jennings. All 4 games outside the division were with Jauan Jennings. All 4 second-half games were with Jauan Jennings.
Jauan Jennings, receiver: 54 receiving yards, 6 receptions and 10 targets in 6 games this season.
One game without Jauan Jennings is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Jauan Jennings
+4.4
without Jauan Jennings
+6.9
010
plain
6.8
6.0
010
The games
with Jauan Jenningswithout Jauan Jennings
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 17 | 0.0 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 6 | -0.9 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | W | 7 | -0.1 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 5 | 4.7 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | W | 10 | 3.1 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | W | 6 | 5.1 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ DET | L | -4 | 1.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.4 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 28% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.