The Vikings' points allowed with Jauan Jennings and without Jauan Jennings
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Vikings were 5.4 points under with Jauan Jennings and 20.3 points under without Jauan Jennings in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 15.0 and 3.0, a difference of 12.0. All 3 home games were with Jauan Jennings. All 4 games outside the division were with Jauan Jennings. All 4 second-half games were with Jauan Jennings.
Jauan Jennings, receiver: 54 receiving yards, 6 receptions and 10 targets in 6 games this season.
One game without Jauan Jennings is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Jauan Jennings
−5.4
without Jauan Jennings
−20.3
-20-100
plain
15.0
3.0
5101520
The games
with Jauan Jenningswithout Jauan Jennings
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 22 | 19.4 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 3 | 23.3 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | W | 16 | 20.5 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 10 | 19.3 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | W | 13 | 21.0 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | W | 10 | 20.5 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ DET | L | 19 | 21.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.