The Vikings' passing yards with Jauan Jennings and without Jauan Jennings
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Vikings were 21.1 yards under with Jauan Jennings and 77.2 yards under without Jauan Jennings in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 192.5 and 143.0, a difference of 49.5. All 3 home games were with Jauan Jennings. All 4 games outside the division were with Jauan Jennings. All 4 second-half games were with Jauan Jennings.
Jauan Jennings, receiver: 54 receiving yards, 6 receptions and 10 targets in 6 games this season.
One game without Jauan Jennings is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
with Jauan Jennings
−21.1
without Jauan Jennings
−77.2
-50050
plain
192.5
143.0
150200
The games
with Jauan Jenningswithout Jauan Jennings
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 151 | 212.3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 143 | 220.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | W | 168 | 204.1 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 247 | 190.4 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | W | 229 | 216.6 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | W | 150 | 221.1 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ DET | L | 210 | 237.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.