The Vikings' carries with Jordan Addison and without Jordan Addison
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Vikings were 0.0 carries under with Jordan Addison and 8.7 carries over without Jordan Addison in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 27.2 and 36.0, a difference of 8.8. All 3 home games were with Jordan Addison. All 3 division games were with Jordan Addison. All 3 first-half games were with Jordan Addison.
Jordan Addison, receiver: 249 receiving yards, 16 receptions and 33 targets in 6 games this season, 1% of MIN’s carries in those games.
One game without Jordan Addison is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Jordan Addison
−0.0
without Jordan Addison
+8.7
-505
plain
27.2
36.0
20253035
The games
with Jordan Addisonwithout Jordan Addison
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | vs GB | W | 34 | 26.9 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ CHI | W | 28 | 25.4 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ TB | W | 23 | 27.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 31 | 28.4 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ NO | W | 36 | 27.3 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs IND | W | 29 | 28.0 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ DET | L | 18 | 27.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 21% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.