Putting Up Numbers· NFL

The Steelers' carries with Michael Pittman and without Michael Pittman

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Steelers were 5.6 carries under with Michael Pittman and 0.1 carries under without Michael Pittman in 2026, 3 games against 5. The plain averages are 21.0 and 26.0, a difference of 5.0. All 4 second-half games were without Michael Pittman.

Michael Pittman, receiver: 89 receiving yards, 7 receptions and 12 targets in 3 games this season.

3 games with Michael Pittman is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

carries a game over expected

A −5.4 difference in carries over expected with Michael Pittman vs without Michael Pittman is about what you’d expect.

A −5.0 difference in carries with Michael Pittman vs without Michael Pittman is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Michael Pittmanwithout Michael Pittman
Pittsburgh Steelers’ games, 2026, each marked with Michael Pittman or without Michael Pittman
SideDateGameResultcarriesExpected
Sep 13, 2026vsATLW2126.7
Sep 20, 2026@NEL2325.3
Sep 27, 2026vsCINW2326.2
Oct 1, 2026@CLEL1926.8
Oct 11, 2026vsINDW2227.1
Oct 18, 2026@TBW2225.7
Oct 25, 2026vsNO (neutral)W3026.5
Nov 1, 2026vsCLEW3326.1

Read next

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 21% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.