The Saints' points allowed with Cameron Jordan and without Cameron Jordan
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Saints were 0.5 points over with Cameron Jordan and 5.4 points over without Cameron Jordan over their last 35 games, 34 games against 1. The plain averages are 23.4 and 31.0, a difference of 7.6. All 17 home games were with Cameron Jordan. All 10 division games were with Cameron Jordan.
Cameron Jordan, linebacker: 14.5 sacks in 32 of those 35 games.
One game without Cameron Jordan is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Cameron Jordan
+0.5
without Cameron Jordan
+5.4
-1001020
plain
23.4
31.0
10203040
The games
with Cameron Jordanwithout Cameron Jordan
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | vs DEN | L | 33 | 22.5 | |
| Oct 27, 2024 | @ LAC | L | 26 | 23.7 | |
| Nov 3, 2024 | @ CAR | L | 23 | 22.1 | |
| Nov 10, 2024 | vs ATL | W | 17 | 23.0 | |
| Nov 17, 2024 | vs CLE | W | 14 | 17.9 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | vs LA | L | 21 | 22.8 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | @ NYG | W | 11 | 19.4 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | vs WAS | L | 20 | 27.4 | |
| Dec 23, 2024 | @ GB | L | 34 | 26.1 | |
| Dec 29, 2024 | vs LV | L | 25 | 19.3 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ TB | L | 27 | 27.7 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | vs ARI | L | 20 | 21.0 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vs SF | L | 26 | 23.7 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ SEA | L | 44 | 27.0 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ BUF | L | 31 | 27.0 | |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vsNYG | W | 14 | 22.0 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs NE | L | 25 | 23.5 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ CHI | L | 26 | 24.9 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vsTB | L | 23 | 21.8 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @LA | L | 34 | 28.9 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @CAR | W | 7 | 21.6 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vsATL | L | 24 | 19.9 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ MIA | L | 21 | 20.7 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @TB | W | 20 | 23.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vsCAR | W | 17 | 18.9 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs NYJ | W | 6 | 18.6 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ TEN | W | 26 | 19.9 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @ATL | L | 19 | 22.1 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ DET | L | 31 | 25.6 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ BAL | W | 17 | 24.0 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vsLV | L | 35 | 24.9 | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | vsATL | L | 45 | 22.4 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 23 | 23.5 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @NYG | W | 27 | 23.4 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs PIT (neutral) | L | 16 | 25.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.9 in 2024, minus 1.1 in 2025, minus 0.2 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 68% in 2024, 69% in 2025, 23% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.