The Ravens' points allowed with Tyler Huntley and without Tyler Huntley
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Ravens were 0.9 points under with Tyler Huntley and 1.2 points over without Tyler Huntley over their last 35 games, 6 games against 19. The plain averages are 23.2 and 24.3, a difference of 1.1. Both games on a short week were without Tyler Huntley.
Tyler Huntley, quarterback: 1,153 passing yards, 177 pass attempts and 128 completions in 10 of those 35 games.
points allowed a game over expected
with Tyler Huntley
−0.9
without Tyler Huntley
+1.2
-20020
A −2.1 difference in points allowed over expected with Tyler Huntley vs without Tyler Huntley is about what you’d expect.
plain
23.2
24.3
02040
A −1.1 difference in points allowed with Tyler Huntley vs without Tyler Huntley is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Tyler Huntleywithout Tyler Huntley
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | vs CIN | W | 34 | 23.3 | |
| Nov 17, 2024 | @ PIT | L | 18 | 21.4 | |
| Nov 25, 2024 | @ LAC | W | 23 | 21.8 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | vs PHI | L | 24 | 24.4 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | @ NYG | W | 14 | 16.8 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vsPIT | W | 17 | 20.1 | |
| Dec 25, 2024 | @ HOU | W | 2 | 22.9 | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | vs CLE | W | 10 | 16.0 | |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vsPIT | W | 14 | 20.3 | |
| Jan 19, 2025 | @ BUF | L | 27 | 27.5 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | @BUF | L | 41 | 27.3 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vsCLE | W | 17 | 17.0 | |
| Sep 22, 2025 | vs DET | L | 38 | 25.3 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | @ KC | L | 37 | 21.6 | |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vsHOU | L | 44 | 21.9 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs LA | L | 17 | 29.7 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs CHI | W | 16 | 25.2 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ MIA | W | 6 | 23.3 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ MIN | W | 19 | 22.1 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @CLE | W | 16 | 18.9 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs NYJ | W | 10 | 19.4 | |
| Nov 27, 2025 | vsCIN | L | 32 | 22.9 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsPIT | L | 27 | 21.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @CIN | W | 0 | 27.5 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs NE | L | 28 | 24.4 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ GB | W | 24 | 24.0 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @PIT | L | 26 | 23.6 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | W | 23 | 23.2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs NO | L | 24 | 23.5 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs DAL (neutral) | W | 31 | 23.9 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | W | 18 | 21.8 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 23 | 23.2 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @CLE | L | 13 | 22.9 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vsCIN | L | 35 | 24.8 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @BUF | L | 36 | 25.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.1 in 2025, minus 0.2 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 69% in 2025, 23% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
- 10 games in 2024 are neither with Tyler Huntley nor without Tyler Huntley: Tyler Huntley had no game for the team that season, and sit out.