The Ravens' carries with Tyler Huntley and without Tyler Huntley
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Ravens were 1.5 carries over with Tyler Huntley and 1.6 carries over without Tyler Huntley in 2026, 3 games against 5. The plain averages are 28.3 and 29.2, a difference of 0.9. Both division games were with Tyler Huntley. All 4 first-half games were without Tyler Huntley.
Tyler Huntley, quarterback: 727 passing yards, 110 pass attempts and 76 completions in 5 games this season, 13% of BAL’s carries in those games.
3 games with Tyler Huntley is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
A −0.1 difference in carries over expected with Tyler Huntley vs without Tyler Huntley is about what you’d expect.
A −0.9 difference in carries with Tyler Huntley vs without Tyler Huntley is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ IND | W | 37 | 26.8 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs NO | L | 22 | 28.0 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs DAL (neutral) | W | 38 | 27.6 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | W | 30 | 28.2 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 35 | 26.4 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 23 | 27.4 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs CIN | L | 27 | 26.7 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ BUF | L | 19 | 27.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 21% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.