The Packers' passing yards with Jonnu Smith and since Jonnu Smith’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Packers were 27.2 yards over with Jonnu Smith and 36.4 yards over since Jonnu Smith’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 279.7 and 288.0, a difference of 8.3. All 4 away games were with Jonnu Smith. All 3 division games were with Jonnu Smith. All 5 games on a full week’s rest or more were with Jonnu Smith.
Jonnu Smith, tight end: 94 receiving yards, 6 receptions and 8 targets in 4 games this season.
One game since Jonnu Smith’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
with Jonnu Smith
+27.2
since Jonnu Smith’s last game
+36.4
-1000100
plain
279.7
288.0
200300
The games
with Jonnu Smithsince Jonnu Smith’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ MIN | L | 387 | 212.9 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ NYJ | W | 145 | 251.8 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | vs ATL | L | 312 | 249.8 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ TB | W | 197 | 254.7 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs CHI | W | 367 | 246.6 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs DAL | W | 276 | 269.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ DET | L | 274 | 282.8 | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | vs CAR | W | 288 | 251.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.