Putting Up Numbers· NFL

The Packers' pass attempts with Jonnu Smith and since Jonnu Smith’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Packers were 3.7 pass attempts over with Jonnu Smith and 4.9 pass attempts over since Jonnu Smith’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 38.7 and 41.0, a difference of 2.3. All 4 away games were with Jonnu Smith. All 3 division games were with Jonnu Smith. All 5 games on a full week’s rest or more were with Jonnu Smith.

Jonnu Smith, tight end: 94 receiving yards, 6 receptions and 8 targets in 4 games this season.

One game since Jonnu Smith’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Jonnu Smithsince Jonnu Smith’s last game
Green Bay Packers’ games, 2026, each marked with Jonnu Smith or since Jonnu Smith’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 13, 2026@MINL4232.9
Sep 20, 2026@NYJW2934.8
Sep 24, 2026vsATLL5334.8
Oct 4, 2026@TBW3036.0
Oct 11, 2026vsCHIW3134.4
Oct 18, 2026vsDALW4134.6
Oct 25, 2026@DETL4537.2
Oct 29, 2026vsCARW4136.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 34% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.