The Chiefs' points with L'Jarius Sneed and since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Chiefs were 0.4 points over with L'Jarius Sneed and 1.8 points over since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game over their last 35 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 23.8 and 24.0, a difference of 0.2. Expected was 1.2 points higher with L'Jarius Sneed than since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game. All 3 home games were with L'Jarius Sneed. All 3 games outside the division were with L'Jarius Sneed.
L'Jarius Sneed, defensive back: 6 of those 35 games.
One game since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with L'Jarius Sneed
+0.4
since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game
+1.8
-20-100
plain
23.8
24.0
102030
The games
with L'Jarius Sneedsince L'Jarius Sneed’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | @ BUF | L | 21 | 22.0 | |
| Nov 24, 2024 | @ CAR | W | 30 | 28.4 | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs LV | W | 19 | 26.3 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | vs LAC | W | 19 | 21.5 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | @ CLE | W | 21 | 24.3 | |
| Dec 21, 2024 | vs HOU | W | 27 | 22.8 | |
| Dec 25, 2024 | @ PIT | W | 29 | 19.9 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | @ DEN | L | 0 | 21.3 | |
| Jan 18, 2025 | vsHOU | W | 23 | 23.1 | |
| Jan 26, 2025 | vsBUF | W | 32 | 22.6 | |
| Feb 9, 2025 | vs PHI (neutral) | L | 22 | 19.7 | |
| Sep 5, 2025 | vsLAC (neutral) | L | 21 | 19.8 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vsPHI | L | 17 | 19.5 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @ NYG | W | 22 | 23.2 | |
| Sep 28, 2025 | vs BAL | W | 37 | 21.6 | |
| Oct 6, 2025 | @ JAX | L | 28 | 17.5 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs DET | W | 30 | 22.8 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vsLV | W | 31 | 23.8 | |
| Oct 27, 2025 | vs WAS | W | 28 | 24.8 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | @BUF | L | 21 | 21.2 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | @DEN | L | 19 | 18.1 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs IND | W | 23 | 23.1 | |
| Nov 27, 2025 | @ DAL | L | 28 | 26.9 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsHOU | L | 10 | 17.8 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | vsLAC | L | 13 | 21.4 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ TEN | L | 9 | 25.1 | |
| Dec 25, 2025 | vsDEN | L | 13 | 20.4 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @LV | L | 12 | 23.6 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | vsDEN | W | 31 | 21.9 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vsIND | W | 33 | 24.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 24 | 23.2 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @LV | W | 30 | 24.4 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vsLAC | W | 22 | 23.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ SEA | L | 3 | 23.7 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @DEN | L | 24 | 22.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- 28 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with L'Jarius Sneed nor since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game: L'Jarius Sneed had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.