The Chiefs' points allowed with L'Jarius Sneed and since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Chiefs were 4.9 points under with L'Jarius Sneed and 6.1 points over since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 17.2 and 28.0, a difference of 10.8. All 3 home games were with L'Jarius Sneed. All 3 games outside the division were with L'Jarius Sneed. All 3 first-half games were with L'Jarius Sneed.
L'Jarius Sneed, defensive back: 6 games this season.
One game since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with L'Jarius Sneed
−4.9
since L'Jarius Sneed’s last game
+6.1
-100
plain
17.2
28.0
102030
The games
with L'Jarius Sneedsince L'Jarius Sneed’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 10 | 23.0 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs IND | W | 30 | 21.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | W | 10 | 22.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | W | 27 | 23.3 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs LAC | W | 6 | 20.5 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ SEA | L | 20 | 22.7 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @DEN | L | 28 | 21.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.