The Cardinals' pass attempts with Jeremiyah Love and without Jeremiyah Love
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Cardinals were 5.5 pass attempts over with Jeremiyah Love and 4.8 pass attempts over without Jeremiyah Love over their last 35 games, 6 games against 2. The plain averages are 41.0 and 41.5, a difference of 0.5. Expected was 1.2 pass attempts lower with Jeremiyah Love than without Jeremiyah Love.
Jeremiyah Love, running back: 268 rushing yards, 76 carries and 11 receptions in 6 of those 35 games.
2 games without Jeremiyah Love is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
pass attempts a game over expected
A +0.7 difference in pass attempts over expected with Jeremiyah Love vs without Jeremiyah Love is about what you’d expect.
A −0.5 difference in pass attempts with Jeremiyah Love vs without Jeremiyah Love is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | pass attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | @ MIA | W | 36 | 32.4 | |
| Nov 3, 2024 | vs CHI | W | 20 | 32.2 | |
| Nov 10, 2024 | vs NYJ | W | 24 | 32.3 | |
| Nov 24, 2024 | @ SEA | L | 37 | 32.5 | |
| Dec 1, 2024 | @ MIN | L | 45 | 33.9 | |
| Dec 8, 2024 | vsSEA | L | 38 | 32.9 | |
| Dec 15, 2024 | vs NE | W | 32 | 31.7 | |
| Dec 22, 2024 | @ CAR | L | 32 | 31.0 | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | @ LA | L | 48 | 30.9 | |
| Jan 5, 2025 | vs SF | W | 35 | 30.9 | |
| Sep 7, 2025 | @ NO | W | 29 | 33.8 | |
| Sep 14, 2025 | vsCAR | W | 25 | 34.7 | |
| Sep 21, 2025 | @SF | L | 35 | 35.8 | |
| Sep 25, 2025 | vsSEA | L | 41 | 36.6 | |
| Oct 5, 2025 | vs TEN | L | 32 | 33.7 | |
| Oct 12, 2025 | @ IND | L | 44 | 37.2 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | vs GB | L | 36 | 35.6 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | @ DAL | W | 31 | 36.4 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @SEA | L | 45 | 36.3 | |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vsSF | L | 57 | 34.4 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs JAX | L | 50 | 37.1 | |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ TB | L | 40 | 35.9 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vsLA | L | 44 | 36.9 | |
| Dec 14, 2025 | @ HOU | L | 40 | 34.3 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs ATL | L | 31 | 35.4 | |
| Dec 28, 2025 | @ CIN | L | 37 | 35.2 | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | @LA | L | 31 | 37.7 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ LAC | W | 37 | 33.2 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vsSEA | L | 28 | 36.5 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @SF | L | 52 | 35.7 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ NYG | L | 35 | 34.2 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs DET | L | 48 | 38.2 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @LA | W | 35 | 36.1 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs DEN | L | 48 | 37.3 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @DAL | W | 46 | 35.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 34% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.
- 27 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Jeremiyah Love nor without Jeremiyah Love: Jeremiyah Love had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.