The Bears' rushing yards with Kyle Monangai and since Kyle Monangai’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Bears were 69.8 yards over with Kyle Monangai and 17.8 yards under since Kyle Monangai’s last game in 2026, 4 games against 4. The plain averages are 196.3 and 105.3, a difference of 91.0. All 4 first-half games were with Kyle Monangai. All 4 second-half games were since Kyle Monangai’s last game.
Kyle Monangai, running back: 324 rushing yards, 60 carries and 5 receptions in 4 games this season, 41% of CHI’s rushing yards in those games.
rushing yards a game over expected
A +87.6 difference in rushing yards over expected with Kyle Monangai vs since Kyle Monangai’s last game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Kyle Monangai and it comes up 15 times in 100.
A +91.0 difference in rushing yards with Kyle Monangai vs since Kyle Monangai’s last game is unusual: shuffle which games were with Kyle Monangai and it comes up 2 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | W | 291 | 118.5 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 134 | 126.7 | |
| Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 128 | 136.7 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | W | 232 | 123.9 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | L | 81 | 126.1 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 98 | 132.2 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs NE | W | 116 | 117.7 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | @ SEA | W | 126 | 116.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 32% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.