The Bears' points with Kyle Monangai and since Kyle Monangai’s last game
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, the Bears were 3.9 points over with Kyle Monangai and 1.9 points over since Kyle Monangai’s last game in 2026, 4 games against 4. The plain averages are 28.0 and 25.5, a difference of 2.5. All 4 first-half games were with Kyle Monangai. All 4 second-half games were since Kyle Monangai’s last game.
Kyle Monangai, running back: 324 rushing yards, 60 carries and 5 receptions in 4 games this season.
points a game over expected
with Kyle Monangai
+3.9
since Kyle Monangai’s last game
+1.9
-20020
A +2.0 difference in points over expected with Kyle Monangai vs since Kyle Monangai’s last game is about what you’d expect.
plain
28.0
25.5
2040
A +2.5 difference in points with Kyle Monangai vs since Kyle Monangai’s last game is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Kyle Monangaisince Kyle Monangai’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | W | 59 | 23.3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | L | 3 | 23.3 | |
| Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | W | 27 | 25.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | W | 23 | 25.0 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | L | 7 | 24.7 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 31 | 23.9 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs NE | W | 30 | 22.8 | |
| Nov 2, 2026 | @ SEA | W | 34 | 23.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.2 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 23% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.