The 49ers' passing yards with Mike Evans and since Mike Evans’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the 49ers were 3.1 yards over with Mike Evans and 47.4 yards over since Mike Evans’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 243.3 and 288.0, a difference of 44.7. All 4 home games were with Mike Evans. All 3 division games were with Mike Evans. All 3 first-half games were with Mike Evans.
Mike Evans, receiver: 420 receiving yards, 27 receptions and 39 targets in 6 games this season.
One game since Mike Evans’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
with Mike Evans
+3.1
since Mike Evans’ last game
+47.4
050
plain
243.3
288.0
200250
The games
with Mike Evanssince Mike Evans’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | vs LA (neutral) | W | 205 | 236.9 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 287 | 230.6 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs ARI | W | 297 | 237.7 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 218 | 248.9 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ SEA | W | 189 | 214.5 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | vs WAS | W | 264 | 272.6 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ ATL | L | 288 | 240.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.