The 49ers' pass attempts with Mike Evans and since Mike Evans’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, the 49ers were 3.6 pass attempts under with Mike Evans and 7.6 pass attempts over since Mike Evans’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 28.5 and 40.0, a difference of 11.5. All 4 home games were with Mike Evans. All 3 division games were with Mike Evans. All 3 first-half games were with Mike Evans.
Mike Evans, receiver: 420 receiving yards, 27 receptions and 39 targets in 6 games this season.
One game since Mike Evans’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
pass attempts a game over expected
with Mike Evans
−3.6
since Mike Evans’ last game
+7.6
-505
plain
28.5
40.0
25303540
The games
with Mike Evanssince Mike Evans’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | pass attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | vs LA (neutral) | W | 34 | 31.3 | |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIA | W | 22 | 31.3 | |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs ARI | W | 27 | 30.3 | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs DEN | W | 30 | 34.4 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ SEA | W | 29 | 31.3 | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | vs WAS | W | 29 | 33.9 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | @ ATL | L | 40 | 32.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 34% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the snap counts, which name every player who took a snap on offense, defense or special teams.