Tyler Huntley’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Tyler Huntley was 0.9 yards under at home and 51.3 yards under away in 2026, 2 games against 3. The plain averages are 180.5 and 122.0, a difference of 58.5.
2 games at home is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
−0.9
away
−51.3
-200-1000100
A +50.4 difference in passing yards over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
plain
180.5
122.0
0100200
A +58.5 difference in passing yards at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | vs TEN | W | 63 | 186.9 | |
| Oct 11, 2026 | @ ATL | W | 201 | 165.3 | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | @ CLE | L | 165 | 150.9 | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | vs CIN | L | 298 | 175.8 | |
| Nov 1, 2026 | @ BUF | L | 0 | 203.7 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 1.6 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 70%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.