Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Travis Etienne’s rushing yards at home and away

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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed running backs, Travis Etienne was 15.2 yards under at home and 8.5 yards under away in 2026, 1 game against 2. The plain averages are 57.0 and 35.5, a difference of 21.5. Expected was 28.2 yards higher at home than away.

One game at home is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

at homeaway
Travis Etienne’s games, 2026, each marked at home or away
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 13, 2026@DETL4640.3
Sep 20, 2026@BALW2547.8
Sep 27, 2026vsLVL5772.2

Method

  • Expected is what the opponent allowed running backs in its other 2026 games, plus 0.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for running backs that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s running backs’ rushing yards in his games, 55%.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 100% of the difference the model predicts.